After 6G, will there be 7G and 8G?

But in any case, from 1G to 5G, it has developed according to this law, at least from the technical standards. This should be similar to Moore's Law, which is also a "self-fulfilling prophecy."

So, after 6G, will there be 7G or even 8G?

Here is another prediction: Kondratieff cycle.

The so-called Kondratiev cycle is a law discovered by Russian economist Kondratiev through statistics: it is an economic cycle lasting 40 to 60 years in developed commodity economies, also called the "Kondratiev long wave" or "K-wave".

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In a Kondratieff cycle, there are generally three stages, namely expansion, stagnation and recession. The more common practice now is to divide it into four stages, that is, to add a turning point between expansion and stagnation.

The Kondratieff cycle reflects a fact that has been observed many times: after the emergence of new things, there will be growth, expansion and prosperity, followed by the inevitable decline and gradual fading from the public eye.

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Looking back at the history of mobile communications, we can find that it is relatively consistent with this cycle. 1G and 2G rose steadily amid fragmentation and chaos, 3G and 4G ushered in a high-glow era for mobile communications, and 5G and 6G are being questioned...

Could it be that the gears of time have really reached their highest point?

Let's apply the Kondratieff cycle to make a simple prediction: based on the 50-year cycle, 32 years have passed since 2G was commercially available, and there are still 18 years left.

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Assuming that 6G is commercialized in 2030 and 7G in 2040, it will be exactly 17 years from now. After that, we may enter the real "long-term evolution", and 8G will probably not be explicitly mentioned again.

To sum up, 5G is the last generation of the public network. With the oversupply of network capacity, 6G and later technologies are mainly used to solve industry applications, which are difficult for the public to perceive. After 7G, it will solve the problem of fragmentation in various professional fields. There is no need to make a big fuss about how many G it is.